Showing posts with label George Springer. Show all posts
Showing posts with label George Springer. Show all posts

Saturday, May 31, 2014

Fantasy Funkhouser: Oscar Taveras is Here. A Nation is Relieved.

Oscar Taveras is coming to town. (cbssports.com)
Fantasy Funkhouser will review all things Fantasy Baseball. After all, life is a small sample size.

After months of speculation, debate, and mathematical breakdowns of what exactly the Super 2 deadline is Oscar Taveras is on his way to St. Louis. The Cards have been floundering a bit all year up until a recent hot streak saw them pull close to the division leading Brewers only to go on another 3 game slide. Clearly some offensive consistency is needed and Taveras is a spark plug that can ignite the top of the Cards' lineup.

Taveras' credentials are pretty extensive and impressive. He's been near to top of every prospect rank since he was 19 years old. He was expected to get the call last year at 20 before ankle injuries cost him important at bats. But now, Taveras has been ripping Triple A pitching to the point where some scouts felt he was bored with the lack of challenges in Triple A to the tune of a .325 AVG with 7 HR and 40 RBI in 49 games. Some snooze-fest, huh?

As for what Taveras can bring to the table fantasy wise, it's mainly tied to two things ... his playing time and his spot in the batting order. While Taveras is regarded as a more talented offensive player than previous call-up extraordinaire George Springer, Taveras' skill set isn't easily translatable as Springer's power and speed combo. Taveras can hit, but it's unclear for how much power. He needs to be put in a position where if he is lacing doubles all over the place, someone needs to be on base. Should his power develop then he can reach his potential of Vladimir Guerrero without the speed. That's something that doesn't come along often.

Playing time wise, the Cardinals wouldn't have made the call to bring up Taveras unless he was going to get a shot to play everyday. Not coincidentally, this move corresponds with current 1B Matt Adams going on the 15-day DL with a hamstring strain. This allows Allen Craig to slide back to 1B, put Taveras in RF, and platoon CF duties between Jon Jay, Peter Bourjos, and fellow Triple A prospect Randal Grichunk. Ideally for the Cards and fantasy owners, Taveras shows he can hang and Adams can be a bench/platoon player moving forward. 

Taveras will have more than enough time to settle in. Again, similarly with Springer, who struggled mightily his first month in the bigs needed time, Taveras will cetainly have his at bats. I do not expect him to have as big a learning curve as Springer did, but at the same time, without the power/speed combo to really generate fantasy value, it's hard to see him having as big an impact as Springer.

Now, if they plop him 2nd in their order, then that would be giving him a chance to bat .300 and drive in a lot of RBI. Taveras is an actionable add in all formats. I've been sitting on him for a month in my keeper league so I'm invested in him. I view him as a better prospect this year and going forward than Gregory Polanco, who should be up in 10 days or so anyway, so don't be hesitant to spend some FAAB or worry about whether you should wait for Polanco.

Taveras will be in the lineup today against San Francisco and he may not be leaving it for a long time. 

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Fantasy Funkhouser: George Springer - The First Big Prospect Callup of 2014 is Here


George Springer has been called up already. (cnn.si.com)
Fantasy Funkhouser will review all things Fantasy Baseball. After all, life is a small sample size.

Probably the most impossible question to ask during fantasy baseball prep is when a top prospect will get called up. It's impossible to answer simply because the team who owns a top prospects right have no idea when that is going to happen. The popular go-to line is the Super Two deadline, which allows a team to call up a prospect without losing an arbitration year. This random date happens sometime in late May or early June. I recently wondered why teams even care about the Super Two deadline anymore with nearly all teams signing their young talents to long-term deals which knock out all the arbitration years anyway. Someone was kind enough to reply, and said something about how it still matters ... yeah, but still. So long as their progress isn't impeded, get your young players up and playing for you in his early 20's and just buy out his arbitration years. Win - win.

Well, the Astros moved forward with one of their many top prospects, George Springer.
Springer had a shot to break camp with the club, but that didn't happen. He then considered suing the Astros for not writing his name in the Opening Day lineup, but that never really gained any steam. With the Astros playing terrible as usual, they've brought up Springer to liven things up a bit. Presumably after a month or so of surviving in the majors, he'll get that big contract extension.

The long and short of it is, yes, if you have a player that is worthy of a drop, then go add Springer immediately. I've dropped the likes of Brad Miller, Brett Gardner, and and assortment of random pitchers like Ivan Nova, Jonathan Broxton, and Marco Estrada. So no one I was heavily invested in draft pick or dollar wise. This is true for any top prospect that gets called up, but don't go dropping highly ranked players for prospects, especially in redraft leagues. As much as it pains you to still hold onto Billy Butler, even he isn't worth cutting loose for many a prospect.

Springer isn't the jewel of many scouts' eyes. Many publications rank him near the bottom of the Top 20, which of course isn't terrible, but it does show some concern for a guy that otherwise hit 37 HR and swiped 45 bags in the minors last year. The big concern for Springer is his ability to make regular contact. He strikes out a lot, and he can certainly be exposed by big league pitching.

When it comes to evaluating Springer, I'm looking at the skills he has. He is going to hit for power and steal bases. If I need that or the person I'm dropping for him has similar or even lesser skills in those areas, sign me up. The big allure of prospects like this is that there is always great potential. Springer could go 20/20 at some point in his career or he could do it by August. It's that hype that tends to make people overreact. As tough as it may be, one must react without emotion to making an addition like this. Springer could fall on his face.

From a value standpoint, again, I'm buying the power and the speed. Average be damned. He should be inserted in the middle of the Houston lineup, so counting stats should be there. I would say his ceiling for this year is probably along the lines of Desmond Jennings. Again, that's a ceiling, if things go great projection. Last year Jennings was ranked 148 in the Yahoo game so again, this isn't likely Yasiel Puig.

Also, for those with a FAAB system in place, the value in Springer is that he is being called up so early. You're getting virtually a full year out of him. There are other prospects out there I would prefer to have over Springer, but if they're not called up until June or July, then that's a lot of lost value. It's an unexpected surprise this early in the year which makes it all the more exciting.