Monday, April 7, 2014

Fantasy Funkhouser: 2014 Fantasy Baseball Player Rankings - Rounds 10-15

Clayton Kershaw's injury is a lesson in not leaning too heavily on pitching in fantasy. (calltothepen.com)
Fantasy Funkhouser will review all things Fantasy Baseball. After all, life is a small sample size.

With all of the media coverage that baseball has, it's hard to believe how many surprises there have been so far for fantasy owners. The day-in-day-out grind that is covering a baseball team usually lends itself to sensational stories or any interesting minutia being discussed just to get something submitted by a deadline. Yet, here we are a week into the season and Clayton Kershaw's precautionary scratch is now a month plus on the DL. Ryan Braun who was homer happy and excited in spring training, now all of a sudden, can't feel his fingers. Pre-season sleeper favorite for the White Sox's closer job, Nate Jones, didn't even get a chance to blow a save, as that gig went to Matt Lindstrom, and he will forever be known as the INF reliever for failing to retire a single batter in his first two appearances of the regular season. Jim Henderson also immediately lost the closing job out of the blue, but he is expected to get it back at some point. Oh and no one seemed to notice that Stephen Strasburg was throwing 90 mph either.

I mean, what the hell, beat writers? How did none of this some to light? I can't remember being more blind sided to start a season than I have been this year. Add to that the unfortunate injuries that have already taken place to Aroldis Chapman, Jose Reyes, and a quick Yu Darvish trip to the DL it's been a scattered and crazy start.

Anyway, with that being said, it seems necessary to start pumping out more rankings faster. This is just getting things official for review and consumption. I've really only altered a couple of players slightly. Most of the movement is due to injuries or players losing their starting gigs. No reason to overhaul everything after a week. Plus these ranks should have been posted by now anyway. No reason to play revisionist history on these. Enjoy!

RANK PLAYER NAME POS POS RANK TEAM CHANGE
1 Miguel Cabrera 3B 1 DET
2 Mike Trout OF 1 LAA
3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1 ARZ
4 Andrew McCutchen OF 2 PIT
5 Carlos Gonzalez OF 3 COL
6 Jacoby Ellsbury OF 4 NYY
7 Hanley Ramirez SS 1 LAD
8 Edwin Encarnacion 3B 2 BAL
9 Chris Davis 1B 3 TOR
10 Carlos Gomez OF 5 MIL 16
11 Robinson Cano 2B 1 SEA
12 Bryce Harper OF 6 WAS
13 Adrian Beltre 3B 3 TEX
14 Joey Votto 1B 3 CIN
15 Adam Jones OF 7 BAL
16 Giancarlo Stanton OF 8 MIA
17 Troy Tulowitzki SS 2 COL
18 Jason Kipnis 2B 2 CLE
19 Prince Fielder 1B 4 TEX
20 Evan Longoria 3B 4 TB
21 Chris Sale SP 1 CHI
22 David Wright 3B 5 NYM
23 Dustin Pedroia 2B 3 BOS
24 Felix Hernandez SP 2 SEA
25 Adam Wainwright SP 3 STL
26 Ian Desmond SS 3 WAS
27 Yu Darvish SP 4 TEX
28 Alex Rios OF 9 TEX
29 Freddie Freeman 1B 5 ATL
30 Cliff Lee SP 5 PHI 31
31 Jose Fernandez SP 6 MIA 43
32 Hunter Pence OF 10 SF
33 Jose Bautista OF 11 TOR
34 Shin-Soo Choo OF 12 TEX
35 Justin Verlander SP 7 DET
36 Justin Upton OF 13 ATL
37 Stephen Strasburg SP 8 WAS
38 Ryan Braun OF 14 MIL 5
39 Craig Kimbrel RP 1 ATL
40 David Price SP 9 TB
41 Matt Holliday OF 15 STL
42 Buster Posey C 1 SF
43 Clayton Kershaw SP 10 LAD
44 David Ortiz 1B 6 BOS
45 Elvis Andrus SS 4 TEX 37
46 Madison Bumgarner SP 11 SF
47 Max Scherzer SP 12 DET
48 Jay Bruce OF 16 CIN
49 Ian Kinsler 2B 4 DET
50 Yasiel Puig OF 17 LAD
51 Eric Hosmer 1B 7 KC
52 Zack Greinke SP 13 LAD
53 Starling Marte OF 18 PIT
54 Albert Pujols 1B 8 LAA
55 Jean Segura SS 5 MIL
56 Adrian Gonzalez 1B 9 LAD
57 Yoenis Cespedes OF 19 OAK
58 Homer Bailey SP 14 CIN
59 Kenley Jansen RP 2 LAD
60 Allen Craig 1B 10 STL
61 Jason Heyward OF 20 ATL
62 Matt Carpenter 2B 5 STL
63 Pedro Alvarez 3B 6 PIT
64 Pablo Sandoval 3B 7 SF 85
65 Everth Cabrera SS 6 SD
66 Greg Holland RP 3 KC
67 Jose Altuve 2B 6 HOU
68 Wil Myers OF 21 TB
69 Joe Mauer C 2 MIN
70 Jayson Werth OF 22 WAS
71 Alex Gordon OF 23 KC
72 Shane Victorino OF 24 BOS
73 Jose Abreu 1B 11 CHW
74 Anibal Sanchez SP 15 DET
75 Starlin Castro SS 7 CHC
76 Alex Cobb SP 16 TB
77 Trevor Rosenthal RP 4 STL
78 Josh Donaldson 3B 8 OAK
79 Anthony Rizzo 1B 12 CHC
80 Mark Trumbo 1B 13 ARZ
81 Yadier Molina C 3 STL
82 Kyle Seager 3B 9 SEA
83 James Shields SP 17 KC
84 Josh Hamilton OF 25 LAA
85 Manny Machado 3B 10 BAL 89
86 Billy Hamilton OF 26 CIN
87 Ben Zobrist SS 8 TB
88 Carlos Santana C 4 CLE
89 Ryan Zimmerman 3B 11 BAL 64
90 Wilin Rosario C 5 COL
91 Carlos Beltran  OF 27 NYY
92 Jordan Zimmermann SP 18 WAS
93 Xander Bogaerts SS 9 BOS
94 Masahiro Tanaka SP 19 NYY
95 Brett Lawrie 2B 7 TOR
96 Matt Kemp OF 28 LAD
97 Matt Cain SP 20 SF
98 Mat Latos SP 21 CIN
99 Danny Salazar SP 22 CLE
100 Sonny Gray  SP 23 OAK
101 Victor Martinez 1B 14 DET
102 Brandon Belt 1B 15 SF
103 Koji Uehara RP 5 BOS
104 Shelby Miller SP 24 STL
105 Chase Utley  2B 8 PHI
106 Gio Gonzalez SP 25 WAS
107 Andrew Cashner SP 26 SD
108 Gerrit Cole SP 27 PIT
109 Billy Butler 1B 16 KC
110 Martin Prado SS 10 ARZ
111 Jedd Gyorko 2B 9 SD
112 Jonathan Lucroy C 6 MIL
113 Cole Hamels SP 28 PHI
114 Desmond Jennings OF 29 TB
115 Brian McCann C 7 NYY
116 Jose Reyes SS 11 TOR
117 Brett Gardner OF 30 NYY
118 Aaron Hill 2B 10 ARZ
119 Hyun-Jin Ryu SP 29 LAD
120 Joe Nathan RP 6 DET
121 Aramis Ramirez 3B 12 MIL
122 Coco Crisp OF 31 OAK
123 Brad Miller 2B 11 SEA
124 Austin Jackson OF 32 DET
125 David Robertson RP 7 NYY
126 Mike Napoli 1B 17 BOS
127 Sergio Romo RP 8 SF
128 Brandon Phillips 2B 12 CIN
129 Doug Fister SP 30 WAS
130 Addison Reed RP 9 ARZ
131 Aroldis Chapman RP 10 CIN 59
132 Ernesto Frieri RP 11 LAA
133 Michael Cuddyer 1B 18 COL
134 Julio Teheran SP 31 ATL
135 Mike Minor SP 32 ATL
136 Justin Masterson SP 33 CLE
137 Joakim Soria RP 12 TEX
138 Matt Moore SP 34 TB
139 R.A. Dickey SP 35 TOR
140 Jim Johnson RP 13 OAK
141 Matt Adams 1B 19 STL
142 Chase Headley 3B 13 SD
143 Will Venable OF 33 SD
144 Tony Cingrani SP 36 CIN
145 Glen Perkins RP 14 MIN
146 Hisashi Iwakuma SP 37 SEA
147 Michael Wacha SP 38 STL
148 Jeff Samardzija SP 39 CHC
149 C.J. Wilson SP 40 LAA
150 Jason Grilli RP 15 PIT
151 Salvador Perez C 8 KC
152 Jered Weaver SP 41 LAA
153 Alfonso Soriano OF 34 NYY
154 Jason Castro C 9 HOU
155 David Murphy 2B 13 NYM
156 Brandon Moss 1B 20 OAK
157 Domonic Brown OF 35 PHI
158 J.J. Hardy SS 12 BAL
159 Curtis Granderson  OF 36 NYM
160 Christian Yelich OF 37 MIA
161 Leonys Martin OF 38 TEX
162 Andrelton Simmons SS 13 CHW
163 Will Middlebrooks 3B 14 BOS
164 Carl Crawford OF 39 LAD
165 Hiroki Kuroda SP 42 NYY
166 Matt Weiters C 10 BAL
167 Nelson Cruz OF 40 BAL
168 Alexi Ramirez SS 14 ATL
169 Anthony Rendon 2B 14 WAS
170 Rafael Soriano RP 16 WAS
171 Steve Cishek RP 17 MIA
172 Jonathan Papelbon RP 18 PHI
173 Johnny Cueto SP 43 CIN
174 Norichika Aoki OF 41 KC
175 Matt Garza SP 44 MIL
176 Jon Lester SP 45 BOS
177 Yan Gomes C 11 CLE
178 Asdrubal Cabrera SS 15 CLE
179 Adam Lind 1B 21 TOR
180 Torii Hunter OF 42 DET

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Fantasy Funkhouser: They Told Me To Do It

When it comes to players like Rick Porcello, seeing will be believing in 2014.

Fantasy Funkhouser will review all things Fantasy Baseball. After all, life is a small sample size.

As you may or may not have noticed, the baseball season has started. I've been sitting on this article for about 2 weeks, so before things get out of hand, it's time to just shove off and give you my list of guys whose opinion I have of them are completely created by the experts out there. Personally, from an emotional standpoint, I have zero interest in these characters, but people smarter than me are constantly saying that these guys are going to break big in 2014. I've selected some position players and pitchers that have been regularly brought up across all kinds of  formats with people gushing all over them. So against my personal better judgment I've based my rankings on these players by trusting the experts and not myself. They're on my teams, I upped their auction price, and I'm holding on for the ride. Here's the list.

Brandon Belt, 1B +San Francisco Giants 
What the experts say: Belt is the golden child of the sabermatricians out there. They rave about his swing, his approach at the plate, and all the good stuff like that. He even changed his swing! Oh, they love that. Also, after finally getting regular playing time against lefties, Belt was able to shine in the second half of 2013 going .326/.390/.525. For a guy that has average power and plays in a pitcher friendly park that particularly zaps lefty power unless you're Barry Lamar Bonds, this is eye catching. Belt is expected to bat 2nd or 3rd this season against righties, putting OBP skills to good use. And so far, he has two dingers, including this one last night against lefty Wade Miley. Color me curious. If all plays out like the experts say, he's a comparable Eric Hosmer without the high ceiling or at least can approach Freddie Freeman status, so long as Freddie doesn't become a 40 HR hitter.



What I think: The guy is just awkward looking, and while his short swing from the left side of the box will help him make solid contact, if he only cracks 15 HR this year and/or loses playing time - that's a ho-hum year. His second half can't be denied, but it seems a little too good to be true.

Alex Gordon, OF +Kansas City Royals 
What the experts say: The uber prospect that made good on his potential. Gordon is a category filler putting up solid but not great numbers across the board. We probably won't see another 2011 year out of him, but that year was what he needed to justify to all of us that he was here to stay.

What I think: He is a solid roto player, no doubt, but without that 2011 ceiling should he be going higher than Ben Zobrist, Austin Jackson, Desmond Jennings, and Carlos Beltran? Also, Gordon will be batting lower in the order to start the season, decreasing his run scoring ability. This could open up some more RBI opportunities and give him the option to run a bit more, but I think this is an overall negative. Also, he's such an elite fielder, that you have to be mindful when reading up on how much experts love him - considering not everything is 100% fantasy related.

Mark Trumbo, OF +Arizona Diamondbacks 
What the experts say: He's moving to a better hitters park! He's going to hit 40 home runs!

What I think: When I heard Todd Zola gush all over Trumbo, I was blown away. Sure the power is there, but Trumbo has been so inconsistent and prone to strike out so much that it usually leads to him falling off a cliff in the 2nd half. I was really blown away from the praise coming Trumbo's way.

Season Monthly G PA HR R RBI SB AVG
Total 1st Half 257 1047 61 132 161 14 0.268
Total 2nd Half 203 824 35 89 129 4 0.227
*Fangraphs


Xander Bogaerts, SS +Boston Red Sox 
What the experts say: He's a future multiple time All-Star. He has a cool approach to the plate, and when he was inserted into a World Series' lineup he wasn't phased at all. The power is coming, and some sites have him ranked as a top 5 SS for 2014.

What I think: I'm a fan of the X-man. I have no doubt he'll be a very solid baseball player. I do worry about him being my everyday SS in fantasy, as I think he's probably a little bit away from starting to capitalize on his potential.

Khris Davis, OF +Milwaukee Brewers 
What the experts say: He has the power and now an everyday spot in an underrated Brewers' lineup. He can approach 30 HR and hit for a decent average.

What I think: Every year experts go nuts over young power hitters. Whether it's Kyle Blanks or Wily Mo Pena or Giancarlo Stanton there are a lot more misses than hits. People were right about Stanton, but Blanks and Pena are and became barely serviceable pinch hitters. Davis has a real likelihood of being exposed when playing everyday.

Will a new approach help make Ivan Nova a superstar? (bronxbaseballdaily.com)

Ivan Nova, SP +Yankees 101 
What the experts think: Nova battled through health issues again last year, but very quietly put together his best ERA and WHIP in his Yankee career. He improved his control and ditched throwing his average fastball so much in favor of distributing those pitches to a cutter and sinker. This took his K's a step down, but improved his ground ball percentage and thus his sparkling ratios.

What I think: This guy never stays health, and he's prone to blow up as much as Gavin Floyd in his prime. He's an unreliable starter in a brutal division who happens to pitch in a terrible park. He's frustrating and I won't feel good putting him out there 80% of the time.

Rick Porcello, SP +Detroit Tigers  
What the experts think: Porcello has finally started to figure out his pitching. He's generating more ground balls, striking more batters out, and all of that points to even more improvement in 2014. He's a player that should easily out perform his auction day purchase price.

What I think: If there's a pitching version of Brandon Belt, it's Porcello. Experts love all of his underlying stats, except for the fact that when he's on the mound he hardly strikes anyone out and can't be trusted start after start. His bad outings (see the first picture in this article) are enough to off-set any discrepancy between his ERA and FIP. Also with Jose Iglesias out most of the year, he won't have the benefit of that slick fielding shortstop to gobble up all his grounders.

Koji Uehara, RP +Boston Red Sox 
What the experts think: Uehara has one of the most unhittable pitches in all of baseball, his splitter. He had the best season of any closer in 2013 and remained unhittable throughout the playoffs. But, he's old and he's always had the injury bugaboo following him. His high usage last year and propensity to give up home runs make him unlikely to repeat last year's success this year. He's outside the top 5 closers in fantasy.

What I think: Not every expert is going to make you want to draft a player. In this case, the experts have kept me away from Uehara this year. I have always like Koji back to his Baltimore days, and having him on several teams last year, I can say that he was dynamite. It bothers me that a lot of the things experts are pointing at are not statistical based but eventuality based. It's likely he'll get hurt, it's likely he won't be as successful. I think Uehara can still be a top 5 closer, but the experts have kept me away.

Corey Kluber, SP +Cleveland Indians 
What the experts think: I've written about Kluber, I like Kluber. I hope he does well.

What I think: I've written about Kluber, I like Kluber. I hope he does well. Hey, we're all in the Kluber fan club whether we want to be or not.