Thursday, March 14, 2013

Looking for a Fight: UFC 158


Don't be annoyed, homie. (ufc.com)

Nick Diaz interrupting after a reporter asked Georges St-Pierre if he was pampered: “I hope so, motherf-----. If I had that much money, I’d be pampering myself up and having mother-----s pampering my s--- left and right. Every hour, there’d be [someone] showing up to pamper me. That would be that.”

St-Pierre: “Let me tell you something, uneducated fool. Listen to me. I have not always been rich. I started from the bottom. I made myself and worked very hard to be where I am right now. I know you don’t believe this, because you didn’t succeed yet, and maybe you will never succeed in your life because I don’t think you’re smart enough to understand how you should [act] to reach that point.

“When you talk about people doing stuff for me... when you reach a point for your business, you need a team of people to work for you to make the economy, to keep the money rolling. You don’t know anything about me, man. You have no idea where I come from. You’re not the only jealous guy.”

Diaz: “That sounds nice, Georges. That sounds nice. If I wore some tight shorts out there and got a haircut and had someone buttering me up halfway through [my career] and telling me this bulls---, maybe it would have worked out. You don’t even know where I come from. I’m not jealous, OK? You did what you had to do. I don’t mean to be disrespectful. I don’t have anything against you, and I think you’ve done a great job for who you are and what you have to work with. So what if you’re pampered out? I don’t have anything against that. All I’m saying is that I hope so, motherf-----, because this is some f----d up s---. If I had the money and the right people on my side working with me to make sure I had my s--t ready, I would be doing it. But I’m over here still doing that s---. Try doing that s--- from when you’re 21 all the way until you’re 32, which you are now. It’s a bitch.”

St-Pierre: “If you are where you are right now, and I have what I have, that’s not my fault. That’s because of you, man. You did not succeed. It’s on you, man.”


And to think, people wanted GSP to fight Johny Hendricks.

A media conference call for UFC 158 changed the collective course of excitement for the title fight Saturday night between Georges St-Pierre and Nick Diaz.



On October 29, 2011 Diaz had just finished bludgeoning B.J. Penn into another retirement, and the controversial Stockton, CA fighter didn't mince his words after his hand was raised. He called out GSP, who at the time was nursing a knee injury that kept him out of his scheduled title defense against Carlos Condit. As the camera stayed, as it usually is, transfixed on Diaz and cut to GSP to see his reaction cage side to being called scared and his injury being questioned, it's clear something inside GSP was burning.

Those initial reactions were confirmed in the post fight press conference by Dana White. He said GSP came up to him and demanded to fight Nick Diaz. He thought Diaz was beyond disrespectful, and he wanted to give Diaz the worst beating of his CAR-eer (emphasized for GSP). The fight made sense. The fans wanted it, Diaz deserved it, and the UFC was eager to put on a show that could pit the completely opposite personas of GSP and Diaz against each other.



Of course though, things didn't go as planned. GSP was training for the Diaz fight when he tore his ACL. He would be out for a year before coming back and defeating interim champion Carlos Condit. Condit won the title by defeating Diaz. After that fight Diaz was then suspended by the Las Vegas Athletic Commission for a year for testing positive for marijuana metabolites during his post fight drug test.

All the while a bearded wrestler from Pennsylvania and his left hook were causing all kinds of trouble. In the time of GSP's injury and the interim situation was going on, Johny Hendricks was making a name for himself. He knocked out Jon Fitch in 12 seconds, beat Josh Koscheck, and knocked Martin Kampmann across the Octagon in less than a minute.

Where a lot of fans stood was if it wasn't a superfight, then they wanted Hendricks against GSP. GSP, however, saw it differently. Whatever Diaz had drudged up so many months ago was still burning inside the 170 lb. Francophone. GSP wanted the Diaz fight, and well, the UFC and Dana White agreed to give one of their top fighters and earners what he wanted. We don't need no stinkin' rankings!

Hendricks was perturbed. Fans were iffy on Diaz getting the title shot. People saw Nick's bro Nate get taken down again and again by Benson Henderson and expected this fight to be a carbon copy of that.

Then, a simple, standard conference call completely erased everyone's collective memory.

Now what we have is a highly tense fight that can be talked about in a million different angles. There's been soundbites and Twitter hashtags. New commercials have been cut and I'm sure the UFC brass is already upping the estimated pay-per-view buys. This is marketing even the slickest of marketers at the UFC could have done. There is only one reason, and that's Nick Diaz.

Diaz is as interesting a character study as you will find in the UFC. No one appears to really know what drives him, what motivates him to act the way he does or why? Is it anxiety? Is he jealous of the success of a guy like GSP? His erratic behavior is so uncontrolled it almost appears to be controlled. As a person he always seemed to be more introverted and not interested in the glitz and glamour of fighting because basically he feels he's never had any of that. He complains about lack of sponsorship, turning to boxing to get paid more, or people just constantly hating on him.

Is what Diaz portrays on the camera just as 100% true and authentic as it gets, or does he have any concept that cultivating this bad boy image (a la Floyd Mayweather) is some of the best marketing one can do?

In a verbal attack on GSP that was as voluminous as his stirkes Diaz went off - spouting emotions from respecting GSP to being insanely jealous of him. His reactions took everyone, including GSP, off guard. Just deciphering the point of what Diaz was saying is tough enough - let alone listening to him speak. His words go a million miles a minute, and he doesn't seem to take as much as a breath let alone think to filter his words before saying them.

What Diaz is ultimately getting at though is himself. When people cannot filter themselves, what ultimately comes out is a reflection on themselves and how they feel. Diaz probably does think GSP is pampered, but that's not meant to be a knock on the champ. Diaz says that would be "nice" if he could have it. He's saying he isn't getting the GSP money and is still struggling. He'd like to be that, but he isn't and in his mind I'm sure he knows he never will be that kind of guy.

But ultimately, that's not what makes Nick Diaz Nick Diaz. His comments may serve some kind of internal purpose for his actions: motivation or aggravating the champ so he makes bad decisions during the fight. That seems a little too easy for Diaz. The reason he can act aloof or irresponsible is because he's trying to figure himself out. He wants to know why GSP is there and he's here. Or why this "pampered" guy gets more respect and love from fans than a guy like himself who is anything but pampered. The word self-destructive comes to mind, but that's too harsh. Diaz doesn't appear to be personally harmful ... maybe only professionally. He appears to be a person that just functions better when things aren't going right. When he's not getting paid or being disrespected or not on the right side of a judges' decision.

His head trainer Caesar Gracie certainly has no idea what to expect from Diaz, but in the UFC Countdown for 158, he said that Nick is just a person that needs adversity. If something is perfect, he'll find a way to mess it up. Well, GSP is near perfect. Come Saturday, Nick Diaz will find a way to mess that up too.

BREAKDOWN

If there's ever been a GSP fight better geared to be a "GSP fight" it's this one. GSP has struggled to finish fighters, even though he has dominated in all of his victories. It would seem unlikely that GSP would be able to submit or knock out the steel chinned/willed Diaz. Diaz won't quit outside of some kind of mental breakdown inside the Octagon. And both guys cardio can go for miles.

One doesn't have to watch every Nick Diaz fight to try to figure out his strategy because it's the same. It's always the same. Game plan and Nick Diaz don't jive together. Out of pure stubbornness Diaz would prefer to just fight his fight. Walk forward, not check leg kicks, taunt, and wait to unload a fury of punches. What Diaz does that I find most interesting is that if he does engage GSP in a back and forth he throws a lot of punches. A lot of them are rather slow and just lightly slapping or hitting his opponent, but when you watch on replay mixed in with these light shots are whipping jabs and hooks that break through an opponents defense when the opponent least expects it. With his long frame and excellent boxing, Diaz can catch anyone off guard.

I'm guessing GSP knows this, and GSP will work the leg kicks and take downs to grind Diaz down. GSP does bring something new to the table every time he fights, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him utilize a lot of leg kicks to neutralize Diaz's striking as well as keep him at bay. Diaz will have to work hard to corner GSP in order to start striking with him, as well as being vigilant of any takedown attempt. Diaz might be confident off his back, but that's not where you want to be against GSP for long spells of time.

The whole dark place thing with GSP is being blown out of proportion a little bit. Sure it's a nice thing to type or say to bring up cheap thrills, but the one thing GSP fears most is losing the title. He might be a bit more aggressive to finish the fight, but he's not walking into a Diaz haymaker. GSP was amped up against Koscheck and BJ Penn II - both of which went significantly in the champs favor. If anything, this dark place is a place where GSP goes every time he fights and a little extra dark energy will only help him.

As predictable as it sounds: GSP by decision.

Friday, March 8, 2013

Fantasy Funkhouser: Fantasy Baseball 2013 Ranks - Round 7

Like many Cubs fans have been saying. There's always next year. (Getty)
Fantasy Funkhouser will review all things Fantasy Baseball. After all, life is a small sample size.

Patience is a bad thing in fantasy sports. In redraft leagues, aggressiveness is what wins championships. Whether its taking leaps of faith with sleepers in the draft and not adhering to anyone's rankings or constantly working the waiver wire and trying to make trades to improve your team - those are the ways to wiiiiiiin.

There are instances in redraft leagues, however, where patience can pay off. Every year there are shiny new players poised to breakout and be the best thing for fantasy owners since Google Drive, but the thing to realize about these players is that even on the slight chance they do make you the envy of every other team in your league; you only get them for one year. The flip of that, and more likely outcome, is that the player fails to live up to the high expectations set, and is a drag on your team you can't drop because of his promise along with the high dollar or round level you've invested in him.

I used to succumb heavily to such players, but that changed last year when a lot of the hyped prospects were getting so overvalued it was insane. Guys like Eric Hosmer, Matt Moore, and Brett Lawrie were all being taken way above their pay grade, and they all struggled. Lawrie and Moore were able to piece some things together near the end of the year, but Hosmer was flat out awful. This year they're actually ranked much more in line with what they should do than last year. A little step back isn't always a bad thing for players or fantasy owners.

Now, before the 57 people that read this are screaming at their iPads about a couple of dudes named Mike Trout and Bryce Harper, they were hardly drafted at all because primarily they didn't have jobs on Opening Day 2012. The idea behind being patient is not wasting value picks on guys like the trio above. Adding from free agency is at the core of succeeding in fantasy. All Trout and Harper cost you last year was a last round pick, $4 at auction, or the energy to make a couple of clicks with your mouse.

The one instance where this plan of mine went astray was with Stephen Strasburg. Going into every draft, I knew I would never own him, and I was fine with that. I wasn't going to invest in a one year league a lot into a player who was coming off of Tommy John, had an innings cap, and hardly had a MLB track record. Strasburg went on to finish 15-6 with a 3.16 ERA, 197 K's, and a 1.15 WHIP, but while I didn't experience because I didn't own him - we all know how messy the end of his season wrapped up with the will they/won't they/should they debate around shutting him down.

In Round 7 of my rankings there are a couple of guys in here that might be a year away, but are getting a lot of buzz right now. The first guy that jumps out is Anthony Rizzo. There are a lot of mixed projections on whether Rizzo will take the leap this year or not. I'm actually leaning more that he will, but I'm not leaping up draft boards to get him. Where he's ranked right now doesn't appear to be overblown (ADP: 85), but from hearing what experts are saying, the general pop is more hesitant to jump in on these guys because the Hosmers and Lawries of 2012.

Freddie Freeman comes in a spot behind Rizzo at #82. Freeman's case is an odd one. Despite marked improvements in his counting stats his OBP dropped even though he walked more, and his SLG barely ticked up from .448 to .455. Also his average dropped almost 30 points even though he struck out less. Freeman showed flashes of greatness in 2012 tearing through Spring Training (I know, I know, but he put on a bomb show during that SSS) and he was a multiple player of the week award winner early in the season. Throughout the rest of the year though, he was inconsistent. An injury to his hand as well as eye issues didn't allow him to hit a baseball very well. So now as 2013 approaches, we are left to wonder if the injuries held him back from a true breakout year.

Another odd thing I found about Freeman is, that at age 23 he's performing about as good as virtually any scout thought he would. His power profile was never there, but last year it was mentioned that not only was he (say it with me...) in the BEST SHAPE OF HIS LIFE, he also started lifting weights for the first time ever ... apparently impressing chicks in high school was different for him than it was for me. I'm no scout, but I doubt they base their power profile on whether or not this guy can bench his weight, but perhaps there is something to this. There's also the distinct chance that Freeman just might be at his peak already. It's a weird case as Freeman's ceiling certainly appears limited.

Notes: I was scared of Sale, now not. Injuries are for keeper leagues, dudarino - let him stand and fire...I have no idea what to make of Hill - he'll get you power, and I wouldn't classify him under the FLUKE tag, just too uneven for my tastes...Motte altered his delivery slightly near the end of last season - once he did that he was scorching through the end of the season and playoffs - don't be surprised if he's the #2 closer in 2013.

RANK NAME POSITION
73 CHRIS SALE SP
74 MICHAEL BOURN OF
75 MAX SCHERZER SP
76 AARON HILL 2B
77 JOE MAUER C/1B
78 MATT MOORE SP
79 ALEX GORDON OF
80 SHIN-SOO CHOO OF
81 ANTHONY RIZZO 1B
82 FREDDIE FREEMAN 1B
83 JASON MOTTE RP
84 MATT WIETERS C


OVERALL RANKINGS THUS FAR

Another week, another Yankee is clipped. Mark Teixiera sprained his wrist, and he can now be expected to miss 8-10 weeks like his teammate Curtis Granderson. While this does plummet him to #125 in my overall ranks, this injury is much more concerning than Granderson's. First, Tex strained his wrist as opposed to Granderson's clean break of his bone. Bones heal, and you're back and ready to go. A wrist injury for a power hitter is shaky ground. Tex has devolved from a great all-around player to now one that only brings homers and RBI to the fantasy picnic table.

As an overall note, I've read several interesting things about starting pitcher depth on Fangraphs and ESPN. The consensus? There's no more depth now than 10 years ago. It's become popular to wait on pitchers, but in shallow leagues, that's bunk.

Elite pitchers bring it to the table, and while I too agree I'd go offense over pitching early, it's important to sure up the top of your staff. Whether your a streamer or like to spin the wheel of destiny with sleeper pitchers, make sure you build a stable staff. 


RANK NAME POSITION CHANGE PREVIOUSLY
1 MIGUEL CABRERA 3B
2 RYAN BRAUN OF
3 MIKE TROUT OF
4 JOEY VOTTO 1B
5 ANDREW MCCUTCHEN OF
6 MATT KEMP OF
7 ROBINSON CANO 2B
8 ALBERT PUJOLS 1B
9 CARLOS GONZALEZ OF
10 JUSTIN VERLANDER SP
11 PRINCE FIELDER 1B
12 CLAYTON KERSHAW SP
13 JASON HEYWARD OF
14 GIANCARLO STANTON OF
15 DAVID WRIGHT 3B
16 FELIX HERNANDEZ SP
17 JUSTIN UPTON OF
18 JOSE BAUTISTA OF
19 EVAN LONGORIA 3B
20 STEPHEN STRASBURG SP
21 ADRIAN BELTRE 3B 22
22 HANLEY RAMIREZ 3B/SS 24
23 JOSH HAMILTON OF 23
24 BUSTER POSEY C/1B 21
25 ADAM JONES OF
26 DAVID PRICE SP
27 TROY TULOWITZKI SS
28 EDWIN ENCARNACION 1B/DH 28
29 IAN KINSLER 2B
30 MATT CAIN SP 30
31 COLE HAMELS SP
32 STARLIN CASTRO SS
33 DUSTIN PEDROIA 2B
34 JAY BRUCE OF
35 JOSE REYES SS
36 CLIFF LEE SP
37 ADRIAN GONZALEZ 1B/OF
38 MATT HOLLIDAY OF
39 RYAN ZIMMERMAN 3B
40 JACOBY ELLSBURY OF
41 ADAM WAINWRIGHT SP
42 MADISON BUMGARNER SP
43 ZACK GREINKE SP
44 BRYCE HARPER OF
45 JERED WEAVER SP
46 BRANDON PHILLIPS 2B
47 ALLEN CRAIG 1B/OF
48 YU DARVISH SP
49 YOENIS CESPEDES OF
50 BILLY BUTLER 1B
51 BEN ZOBRIST 2B/SS/OF
52 PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT 1B
53 GIO GONZALEZ SP
54 PABLO SANDOVAL 3B
55 BRETT LAWRIE 3B
56 R.A. DICKEY SP
57 CRAIG KIMBREL RP
58 CC SABATHIA SP 62
59 B.J. UPTON OF
60 IAN DESMOND SS
61 YADIER MOLINA C
62 ROY HALLADAY SP 70
63 AROLDIS CHAPMAN SP/RP
64 MAT LATOS SP 58
65 JASON KIPNIS  2B
66 ARAMIS RAMIREZ 3B
67 AUSTIN JACKSON OF
68 KRIS MEDLEN SP
69 DESMOND JENNINGS OF
70 JOHNY CUETO SP 64
71 CHASE HEADLEY 3B
72 JIMMY ROLLINS SS
73 CHRIS SALE SP
74 MICHAEL BOURN OF
75 MAX SCHERZER SP
76 AARON HILL 2B
77 JOE MAUER C/1B
78 MATT MOORE SP
79 ALEX GORDON OF
80 SHIN-SOO CHOO OF
81 ANTHONY RIZZO 1B
82 FREDDIE FREEMAN 1B
83 JASON MOTTE RP
84 MATT WIETERS C


The Funkman says: "I'm not old; I'm proven."